Wide Open Spaces aka Georgia Down Ballot Races

2026 Georgia Lieutenant Governor Primary: New Tier 2 Polling Insights


The 2026 Georgia Republican Primary for Lieutenant Governor is currently a wide-open race, according to new data from Propitious LLC. This analysis focuses on Tier 2 counties, which account for one-quarter of the expected primary turnout. With seventy-six percent of voters still undecided, the field is ripe for a strategic breakthrough.


The Battle for Name Recognition


John Kennedy currently leads in raw support at 26%, supported by the highest name recognition in the field at over 25%. However, the data reveals a significant reliability gap. Only 48% of Kennedy’s supporters are classified as high-propensity voters.


In contrast, Greg Dolezal maintains a powerful fortress in Forsyth County. While he trails slightly in raw numbers at 25% percent, his coalition is composed of highly reliable super voters. When the results are adjusted for turnout probability, Dolezal effectively takes the lead at 6.8 percent compared to Kennedy's 5.3 percent.


Strategic Lanes and Voter Quality


The polling identifies distinct strategic lanes among the candidates. David Clark has captured a solid niche among conscience Republicans, securing 40% of the base that supports Brad Raffensperger for Governor. Meanwhile, Blake Tillery stands out for voter quality. Every single one of his supporters is a high propensity voter, and he maintains zero brand damage among the primary electorate.


Policy Drivers for 2026


Voters are currently split on their top tax priorities. 52% percent of respondents favor the elimination of the Homestead Property Tax, while 48% percent prioritize ending the Personal Income Tax. This division creates a unique opportunity for candidates to tailor their economic messages to specific county demographics.


As the campaign enters the spring primary months, the candidate who can most effectively scale their message will likely own the momentum heading into 2026 primary.


Read the Crosstabs and Analysis
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